Prediction of the South China Sea Dipole Using SSA-MEM     

Qiong Xia  Enbo Wei 《大气与海洋》2018,56(4):240-253

ABSTRACT

A dipole structure appears in the sea surface height off the central coast of Vietnam during boreal summer in the South China Sea. This dipole, which possesses a chlorophyll signature associated with higher phytoplankton concentrations arising from nutrient upwelling, is important for the productivity of local fisheries. Multi-satellite sea level anomalies are used to investigate the life cycle of the dipole structure. By applying empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, the third EOF mode (EOF 3) is found to represent the major variations of the dipole structure. By removing the temporal noise of EOF 3, a South China Sea dipole index is defined. This index captures the life cycle of the dipole including its generation, mature strength, and final termination. Both one-dimensional and two-dimensional forecasts are generated using a statistical forecasting method that combines singular-spectrum analysis and the maximum entropy method. The appearance of the dipole structure can be predicted with an accuracy of 78% at one-month lead times and an accuracy of 61% at one-year lead times.  相似文献   

青藏高原东北缘重力场深部结构及其动力学特征          下载免费PDF全文

王鑫  姜文亮  张景发  王德华  田云峰  申文豪 《地球物理学报》2020,63(3):988-1001

本文采用欧拉反褶积、场源参数成像(SPI)、场源边界提取(SED)、莫霍面反演、地壳三维可视化等多源方法,对青藏高原东北缘地区的布格重力场进行反演与分析,深入研究该地区的深部结构与变形特征,探讨区域深部孕震环境及动力学机制.研究表明,青藏高原东北缘的布格重力场整体呈负异常值,具有明显的分区性,表现出鄂尔多斯盆地异常值相对偏高、阿拉善块体次之、青藏高原块体极低的特点,其中海源断裂系形成了一条宽缓的弧形重力梯度条带,梯度值达1.2 mGal·km^-1.欧拉结果显示,鄂尔多斯盆地相比于青藏高原块体而言,场源点具有较强的均一性,场源强度值高(密度值高)且深度稳定在25~32 km范围内,而高原块体的中下地壳尺度广泛分布着低密度异常体.SPI图可知,海源弧形断裂系位于“浅源异常”弧形区,反映其地壳较为活跃,易发生中强地震.SED图揭示青藏高原地壳向东北扩展,经过几大断裂系的调节后运动矢量向东或东南转化,SED与GPS、SKS运动特征大致相同,说明地表-地壳-地幔的运动特征有着较强的一致性.青藏高原东北缘地区壳幔变形是连贯的,加之莫霍面由北向南、由东向西是逐渐加深的,因此属于垂向连贯变形机制,不符合下地壳管道流动力学模式.区域形成了似三联点构造格局,其中海源弧形断裂系的深部地壳结构复杂,高低密度异常体复杂交汇,是青藏高原、阿拉善、鄂尔多斯三大块体相互作用的重要枢纽,其运动学特征总体为中段走滑尾端逆冲,而断裂系正处于大型的弧形莫霍面斜坡带之上,具备强震的深部孕震环境,因此大尺度的运动调节与深部孕震条件共同促使了该地区中强震的多发.  相似文献   

Estimation of the 3D correlation structure of an alluvial aquifer from surface-based multi-frequency ground-penetrating radar reflection data     

Zhiwei Xu  James Irving  Kyle Lindsay  John Bradford  Peimin Zhu  Klaus Holliger 《Geophysical Prospecting》2020,68(2):678-689

Knowledge about the stochastic nature of heterogeneity in subsurface hydraulic properties is critical for aquifer characterization and the corresponding prediction of groundwater flow and contaminant transport. Whereas the vertical correlation structure of the heterogeneity is often well constrained by borehole information, the lateral correlation structure is generally unknown because the spacing between boreholes is too large to allow for its meaningful inference. There is, however, evidence to suggest that information on the lateral correlation structure may be extracted from the correlation statistics of the subsurface reflectivity structure imaged by surface-based ground-penetrating radar measurements. To date, case studies involving this approach have been limited to 2D profiles acquired at a single antenna centre frequency in areas with limited complementary information. As a result, the practical reliability of this methodology has been difficult to assess. Here, we extend previous work to 3D and consider reflection ground-penetrating radar data acquired using two antenna centre frequencies at the extensively explored and well-constrained Boise Hydrogeophysical Research Site. We find that the results obtained using the two ground-penetrating radar frequencies are consistent with each other, as well as with information from a number of other studies at the Boise Hydrogeophysical Research Site. In addition, contrary to previous 2D work, our results indicate that the surface-based reflection ground-penetrating radar data are not only sensitive to the aspect ratio of the underlying heterogeneity, but also, albeit to a lesser extent, to the so-called Hurst number, which is a key parameter characterizing the local variability of the fine-scale structure.  相似文献   

Evaluation of clayed silt properties on the behavior of hydrate production in South China Sea     

《China Geology》2020,3(3):362-368

Gas hydrate is one kind of potential energy resources that is buried under deep seafloor or frozen areas. The first trial offshore production from the silty reservoir was conducted in the South China Sea by the China Geological Survey (CGS). During this test, there were many unique characteristics different from the sand reservoir, which was believed to be related to the clayed silt physical properties. In this paper, simulation experiments, facilities analysis, and theoretical calculation were used to confirm the hydrate structure, reservoir thermo-physical property, and bond water movement rule. And the behavior of how they affected production efficiency was analyzed. The results showed that: It was reasonable to use the structure I rather than structure II methane hydrate phase equilibrium data to make the production plan; the dissociation heat absorbed by hydrate was large enough to cause hydrate self-protection or reformation depend on the reservoir thermal transfer and gas supply; clayed silt got better thermal conductivity compared to coarse grain, but poor thermal convection especially with hydrate; clayed silt sediment was easy to bond water, but the irreducible water can be exchanged to free water under high production pressure, and the most obvious pressure range of water increment was 1.9–4.9 MPa.  相似文献   

鄂尔多斯西缘北段的地壳结构和块体间变形关系          下载免费PDF全文

陈一方  陈九辉  郭飚  李顺成  齐少华  赵盼盼  李晓姝 《地球物理学报》2020,63(3):886-896

本文对喜马拉雅计划二期部分台站的远震波形数据进行接收函数提取,利用接收函数共转换点叠加方法获得阿拉善地块、鄂尔多斯地块以及银川—河套盆地下方0~80 km深度的速度间断面结构.结果表明:鄂尔多斯地块成层性好,地壳厚度为38~42 km,康拉德界面为18~22 km,阿拉善地区的Moho面深度为38~45 km.河套盆地地壳厚度约52 km,银川断陷盆地和贺兰山下方的Moho面最深为~55 km.鄂尔多斯西缘构造边界下方Moho面变化明显,且黄河断裂为深大断裂直接切割莫霍界面.根据本文的间断面成像结果我们进一步确定阿拉善地块与鄂尔多斯地块分属不同的大地构造单元.与此同时,我们推测贺兰山以西70~80 km范围内和鄂尔多斯地块西缘北段存在地壳增厚变形的可能.  相似文献   

Nonlinear dynamic tests of a reinforced concrete frame building at different damage levels     

Seyedsina Yousefianmoghadam  Mingming Song  Mohammad Ebrahim Mohammadi  Brittany Packard  Andreas Stavridis  Babak Moaveni  Richard L. Wood 《地震工程与结构动力学》2020,49(9):924-945

This paper discusses the dynamic tests of a two-story infilled reinforced concrete (RC) frame building using an eccentric-mass shaker. The building, located in El Centro, CA, was substantially damaged prior to the tests due to the seismic activity in the area. During the testing sequence, five infill walls were removed to introduce additional damage states and to investigate the changes in the dynamic properties and the nonlinear response of the building to the induced excitations. The accelerations and displacements of the structure under the forced and ambient vibrations were recorded through an array of sensors, while lidar scans were obtained to document the damage. The test data provide insight into the nonlinear response of an actual building and the change of its resonant frequencies and operational shapes due to varying damage levels and changes of the excitation amplitude, frequency, and orientation.  相似文献   

Research Progress of Geophysical Exploration in Karatungk Mine in Northern Xinjiang, China     

DU Peixiao  LI Yang  WEI Mengyi  HAN Chunming  ZHAO Liang  WU Jing 《中国地震研究》2020,34(3):311-327

Karatungk Mine in northern Xinjiang, China, which is a large-scale magmatic Cu-Ni sulfide mine in the Central Asian orogenic belt, has a long history of mining. The mine is located at the merging belt between Altay orogenic belt and Junggar Basin, and has strong tectonic activities. In recent years, mining source detection has become an important target for mineral exploration due to the difficulties in ore body exploitation. In this paper,we systematically summarize the achievements of the geophysical explorations in Karatungk Mine from various aspects, including tectonic backgrounds of the mine, dynamic mechanisms, geophysical characteristics and scientific challenges in the future. Because of the restrictions of observation density and analysis methods, the fine geometrical structure of the mine cannot be completely characterized yet. Therefore,in order to obtain the high-resolution structure and detailed spatial distribution of orebodies, researchers should focus on combining multiple geophysical methods, developing high-resolution imaging methods, and improving petro physical experiments in the future.  相似文献   

跨黏滑断层隧道纤维混凝土衬砌抗错断技术研究          下载免费PDF全文

崔光耀  孟令瀚  王明胜 《地震工程学报》2020,42(1):194-198

为提高跨黏滑断层隧道的结构安全性和稳定性,以都汶高速友谊隧道F 1黏滑断层段为研究背景,通过采用纤维混凝土衬砌对跨黏滑断层隧道抗错断技术进行研究。结果表明:同体积纤维掺量条件下,混杂纤维混凝土(SBFRC)立方体抗压强度比纤维混凝土(SFRC)略低,SBFRC抗折强度比SFRC略高;断层黏滑错动对隧道上盘的影响大于下盘;纤维混凝土衬砌对下盘隧道结构的抗错效果优于上盘隧道,SFRC二衬平均抗错效果为12.22%,SBFRC二衬平均抗错效果为15.81%。研究成果可为黏滑断层隧道的结构设计及施工提供参考。  相似文献   

地震作用下相邻地下结构与土相互作用特性研究          下载免费PDF全文

于仲洋  张鸿儒  邱滟佳  李昊 《地震工程学报》2020,42(2):481-489

针对简单框架式地铁车站结构的抗震特性研究已取得一定成果,但对于结构形式较复杂或多个地下结构间相互作用等问题仍需进一步探究。本文利用现有地震分析方法中的动力时程分析法对两个地下结构间相互作用的影响进行系统对比分析,其中主体结构为三层三跨车站、附属结构为两层三跨车站。主要探讨附属结构与主体结构间距离的变化、两结构间连接形式对场地土以及主体结构地震响应特性的影响,分析比较场地土变形、主体结构变形、层间位移角以及内力在不同工况下的地震响应特性。结果表明:相邻地下结构与土相互作用形式较独立结构与土相互作用形式对场地土影响更加明显;当附属结构与主体结构间距离超过两倍结构宽度,附属结构对主体结构周围场地变形影响效应可基本忽略;同样当附属结构与主体结构间距离超过两倍的结构宽度,附属结构对主体结构的变形、内力基本已无影响,因此地震情况下相邻结构间相互作用影响范围基本为两倍结构宽度。与此同时,附属结构的存在对于主体结构抗震特性是不利的,不同连接形式中单层通道连接的形式变形以及内力方面均小于双层通道连接形式。  相似文献   

配BFG蒸压加气混凝土砌块砌体基本力学性能数值模拟     

陈东方  熊立红  陈国武  罗明康 《地震工程与工程振动》2020,(2):216-226

将蒸压加气混凝土(AAC)砌体填充墙采用薄灰缝专用砂浆砌筑,并在灰缝中配置玄武岩纤维格栅(BFG),可以提高墙体的抗压强度和延性。为了研究配BFG的AAC砌块砌体的基本力学性能,设计了9组27个试件进行抗压和抗剪试验。在试验的基础上,首先分析了砌体的抗压和抗剪性能,给出抗压上升段本构方程和抗压、抗剪强度建议公式;其次运用ABAQUS对砌体的抗压和抗剪性能进行模拟,通过比较模拟结果与试验结果,验证了有限元模型的合理性;最后分析了模型受压时的应力-应变关系,给出抗压下降段本构方程。研究表明:荷载施加处,接触面上剪应力集中是砌体通缝抗剪破坏的主要原因;本构方程可为配BFG蒸压加气混凝土砌体填充墙抗震性能的研究提供参考。  相似文献